Palmeiras is the favorite against Bota, and Flamengo has a 23% chance, supercomputer calculates

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SAO PAULO, SP (UOL/FOLHAPRESS) - The Opta Analyst supercomputer has updated its World Cup calculations and made predictions for the knockout stage. The technology gives Palmeiras a slight advantage over Botafogo and Flamengo-Fluminense pair as underdogs in their round of 16 matches against European teams. No Brazilian team reaches a 1% chance of winning the title.

Palmeiras has a 55.8% chance of advancing to the quarterfinals against 44.2% for Botafogo, according to the projection. The two Brazilian teams open the round of sixteen on Saturday (28th) at 13:00 (Brasília time), at the Lincoln Financial Field.

The Flamengo, on the other hand, has only a 23.3% probability against Bayern, according to the supercomputer's calculations. The Germans enter the match as clear favorites, with a 76.6% chance of emerging victorious in the Sunday clash at 5 PM ( Brasilia Time), in Miami.

While Fluminense has the lowest calculated chance among all 16 teams that qualified. The Rio de Janeiro club was projected to have only a 15.6% chance of upsetting Inter de Milan, which has the highest projection at 84.4%.

The probability of the Brazilians advancing to the semifinals does not exceed 16%. Palmeiras has the highest calculated chance of making it among the top four teams in the tournament, at 15.9%, with Botafogo (10.3%), Flamengo (5.8%), and Fluminense (2.4%) following behind.

None of the four has a 1% chance of winning the title. The Verdão has a projected 0.9% chance of becoming champion; Fla, 0.5%; Bota, 0.4%; and the Tricolor, 0.1%.

The PSG continues to be the favorite according to Opta technology, followed closely by City. The current European champions had already been painted as favorites before the start of the tournament and even increased their numbers. Before, they had a 18.5% chance of winning the cup. Now, it is 20.6%.

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CHANCES CALCULATED BY THE SUPERCOMPUTER

If we advance to the quarterfinals

Inter Milan: 84.4%

PSG: 83.2%

Manchester City: 82,7%

Munich Bayern: 76.7%

Borussia Dortmund: 74.6%

Real Madrid: 62,7%

Chelsea: 59%

Palmeiras: 55.8%

Botafogo: 44.2%

Benfica: 41%

Juventus: 37.3%

Monterrey: 25.4%

Al-Hilal: 17,3%

Inter Miami: 16.8%

Fluminense: 15.6%

De ir à semi

PSG: 52.3%

Manchester City: 51,7%

Inter de Milan: 40.8%

Munich Bayern: 37.2%

Chelsea: 45.5%

Real Madrid: 40,8%

Borussia Dortmund: 33.8%

Benfica: 28.3%

Juventus: 19.5%

Palmeiras: 15.9%

Botafogo: 10.3%

Flamengo: 5.8%

Monterrey: 5.8%

Al-Hilal: 5%

Inter Miami: 4.7%

Fluminense: 2.4%

To reach the final

Manchester City: 35%

PSG: 34.8%

Inter Milan: 25%

Munich Bayern: 21.8%

Chelsea: 21.2%

Real Madrid: 19.3%

Borussia Dortmund: 13,2%

Benfica: 10,9%

Juventus: 6.6%

Palmeiras: 3.7%

Botafogo: 1.9%

Flamengo: 1.8%

Al-Hilal: 1.8%

Inter Miami: 1.3%

Monterrey: 1.1%

Fluminense: 0.6%

If he becomes champion

PSG: 20.6%

Manchester City: 20,4%

Inter de Milan: 12.4%

Bayern Munich: 11.3%

Chelsea: 10.4%

Real Madrid: 9.7%

Borussia Dortmund: 5.6%

Benfica: 4.2%

Juventus: 2.5%

Palmeiras: 0.9%

Flamengo: 0.5%

Al-Hilal: 0.4%

Botafogo: 0.4%

Inter Miami: 0,3%

Monterrey: 0.2%

Fluminense: 0.1%

MATA-MATA KEY MATCHES

Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Benfica vs Chelsea

Inter de Milão vs Fluminense

Manchester City vs Al-Hilal

PSG vs Inter Miami

Flamengo vs Bayern Munich

Borussia Dortmund vs. Monterrey

Real Madrid vs Juventus